Murray State
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−14.4 pts · likely #98–124
Strength of schedule
17.6
#91 of 128
Strength of victory
2.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.304
Opp. 22.2% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
65.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 14-28 | −9.7 | −2.7 | 0.074 | 4 | −24.4 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 27-18 | −18.1 | −2.7 | 0.022 | 4 | −12.3 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 6-46 | +9.2 | −2.7 | 0.434 | 2 | −25.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at North Dakota · p 0.810
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota · p 0.631
- Wk 8: at South Dakota State · p 0.793
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.787
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.740
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.366
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.439
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-38
- Wk 3: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 0-59