Southern Utah
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#30
+7.1 pts · likely #15–66
Strength of schedule
43.6
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
25.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.546
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 30.6%
Remaining SOS
30.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Weber State | W 47-42 | +2.2 | −2.8 | 0.258 | 2 | +4.9 |
| 1 | at Montana | L 21-28 | +17.3 | +2.8 | 0.776 | 1 | +11.9 |
| 3 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 26-28 | −2.6 | +2.8 | 0.275 | 2 | +0.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Idaho State · p 0.485
- Wk 5: at Utah Tech · p 0.186
- Wk 7: vs UC Davis · p 0.552
- Wk 8: at Idaho · p 0.378
- Wk 9: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.400
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.191
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.235
- Wk 12: vs Chicago State · p 0.024
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 24-58