Weber State
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#43
+2.7 pts · likely #26–84
Strength of schedule
29.0
#33 of 128
Strength of victory
16.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.185
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
40.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 30-29 | −1.1 | +2.8 | 0.310 | 2 | +2.5 |
| 1 | at Southern Utah | L 42-47 | +7.7 | +2.8 | 0.540 | 1 | +4.9 |
| 3 | vs Northwestern State | W 49-20 | −18.1 | −2.8 | 0.021 | 4 | +6.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Portland State · p 0.135
- Wk 5: at Cal Poly · p 0.319
- Wk 6: vs Idaho · p 0.244
- Wk 7: vs Idaho State · p 0.485
- Wk 8: at Montana State · p 0.843
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.552
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.551
- Wk 12: vs Utah Tech · p 0.102
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ColoradoFBS · L 21-52