Montana
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#12
+16.1 pts · likely #4–28
Strength of schedule
17.0
#54 of 128
Strength of victory
17.0
#14
Record SOS
0.352
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 72.2%
Remaining SOS
45.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Utah | W 28-21 | +5.7 | −2.8 | 0.340 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 1 | vs Drake | W 45-10 | −8.5 | −2.8 | 0.084 | 4 | +22.1 |
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 35-14 | −8.3 | −2.8 | 0.086 | 4 | +11.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at UC Davis · p 0.696
- Wk 5: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.191
- Wk 6: at Northern Arizona · p 0.551
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.244
- Wk 9: at Eastern Washington · p 0.484
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.135
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.485
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.843
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Oregon StateFBS · L 17-52