South Dakota State
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 28% of the time
Power
#11
+16.2 pts · likely #3–29
Strength of schedule
25.0
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
25.0
#10
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 77.8%
Remaining SOS
47.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stetson | W 70-7 | −23.4 | −2.8 | 0.008 | 4 | +10.3 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 57-14 | −14.4 | −2.8 | 0.037 | 4 | +17.6 |
| 3 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-20 | +19.7 | −2.8 | 0.703 | 1 | +21.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.125
- Wk 5: at Illinois State · p 0.856
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.828
- Wk 8: vs Murray State · p 0.056
- Wk 9: vs South Dakota · p 0.690
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.491
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.562
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.208
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NorthwesternFBS · L 18-34