Youngstown State
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#7
+17.7 pts · likely #2–23
Strength of schedule
38.7
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
22.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.827
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
50.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 43-10 | −3.3 | −2.8 | 0.152 | 3 | +24.0 |
| 2 | vs Duquesne | W 70-13 | +3.8 | −2.8 | 0.294 | 2 | +30.1 |
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 20-27 | +14.5 | +2.8 | 0.714 | 1 | +12.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs South Dakota · p 0.690
- Wk 5: at Southern Illinois · p 0.562
- Wk 6: at Indiana State · p 0.333
- Wk 7: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.343
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.714
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.114
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.752
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KentuckyFBS · L 13-45