New Haven
NEC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−14.6 pts · likely #98–123
Strength of schedule
28.7
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
11.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.324
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 30.6%
Remaining SOS
27.7
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stonehill | L 3-21 | −10.2 | −2.8 | 0.067 | 4 | −27.5 |
| 1 | vs Marist | W 22-21 | −5.9 | −2.8 | 0.115 | 3 | −9.5 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 14-57 | +15.7 | +2.8 | 0.742 | 1 | −16.0 |
| 3 | vs Brown | L 10-17 | +0.6 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Merrimack · p 0.219
- Wk 5: at Austin Peay · p 0.717
- Wk 7: at Robert Morris · p 0.296
- Wk 8: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.398
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.171
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.118
- Wk 11: at Wagner · p 0.095
- Wk 12: at Mercyhurst · p 0.198