Indiana State
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#68
−0.2 pts · likely #33–98
Strength of schedule
17.0
#55 of 128
Strength of victory
13.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
59.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-23 | +1.4 | −2.8 | 0.241 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-35 | −3.7 | +2.8 | 0.251 | 2 | +4.5 |
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 39-16 | −19.4 | −2.8 | 0.017 | 4 | +0.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs North Dakota · p 0.714
- Wk 5: at South Dakota · p 0.810
- Wk 6: vs Youngstown State · p 0.660
- Wk 8: at Illinois State · p 0.856
- Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.491
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.410
- Wk 11: vs Murray State · p 0.056
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.750
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 19-44