Eastern Illinois
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#92
−5.3 pts · likely #56–109
Strength of schedule
39.2
#19 of 128
Strength of victory
17.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.676
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 36.1%
Remaining SOS
31.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Murray State | W 28-14 | −7.9 | +2.8 | 0.170 | 3 | +5.5 |
| 2 | vs Indiana State | L 35-42 | −1.6 | −2.8 | 0.182 | 3 | −10.0 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 13-49 | +19.9 | +2.8 | 0.824 | 1 | −10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at South Dakota State · p 0.750
- Wk 6: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.428
- Wk 7: vs Lindenwood · p 0.264
- Wk 8: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.256
- Wk 9: at UT Martin · p 0.367
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.165
- Wk 11: at Tennessee State · p 0.117
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.183
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MinnesotaFBS · L 7-59