Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−19.6 pts · likely #110–127
Strength of schedule
22.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.222
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 16.7%
Remaining SOS
13.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Murray State | L 18-27 | −10.9 | +2.8 | 0.123 | 3 | −17.5 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 16-39 | −0.4 | +2.8 | 0.329 | 2 | −20.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Butler · p 0.160
- Wk 5: at Morehead State · p 0.037
- Wk 6: vs Drake · p 0.065
- Wk 7: at San Diego · p 0.175
- Wk 8: vs Presbyterian · p 0.054
- Wk 10: at Dayton · p 0.321
- Wk 11: at Stetson · p 0.029
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.206
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lawrence TechNon-NCAA · W 59-13