Villanova
CAA · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 23% of the time
Power
#17
+11.6 pts · likely #9–37
Strength of schedule
33.1
#55 of 129
Strength of victory
27.8
#25
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
51.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +2.0 | −2.4 | 0.262 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +12.3 | +2.4 | 0.650 | 1 | −1.8 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +3.3 | −2.4 | 0.292 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +8.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Towson · p 0.352
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.355
- Wk 13: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.176
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.715
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.706
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.866
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.403
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52