William & Mary
CAA · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#47
+3.7 pts · likely #27–70
Strength of schedule
31.8
#61 of 129
Strength of victory
21.9
#48
Record SOS
0.565
Opp. 59.7% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
16.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | −3.0 | +2.4 | 0.256 | 2 | −2.3 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | +4.4 | −2.4 | 0.319 | 2 | +3.8 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −2.9 | −2.4 | 0.166 | 3 | +19.7 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +12.1 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.063
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.222
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.104
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.277
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55