Monmouth
CAA · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 6.7% of the time
Power
#12
+13.8 pts · likely #7–30
Strength of schedule
30.3
#72 of 129
Strength of victory
30.3
#15
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 53.2% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
17.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Colgate | W 42-39 | +1.7 | +2.4 | 0.371 | 2 | +7.0 |
| 2 | at Fordham | W 49-28 | −8.2 | +2.4 | 0.157 | 3 | +15.2 |
| 4 | vs Villanova | W 51-33 | +13.4 | −2.4 | 0.555 | 1 | +27.2 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 49-38 | −2.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.155
- Wk 11: vs New Hampshire · p 0.346
- Wk 12: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.147
- Wk 13: vs UAlbany · p 0.063
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 35-42