Towson
CAA · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#59
+0.8 pts · likely #37–87
Strength of schedule
32.2
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
14.6
#64
Record SOS
0.403
Opp. 37.1% · Opp. opp. 46.9%
Remaining SOS
22.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −12.9 | +2.4 | 0.092 | 4 | +8.6 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −5.5 | +2.4 | 0.205 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +11.2 | −2.4 | 0.496 | 2 | +5.2 |
| 5 | at Bryant | W 26-24 | −9.3 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.147
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.507
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.113
- Wk 13: vs Campbell · p 0.138
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44