Morgan State
MEAC · 0-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#124
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#95
−5.8 pts · likely #61–113
Strength of schedule
21.2
#108 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.403
Opp. 43.5% · Opp. opp. 33.8%
Remaining SOS
27.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Towson | L 22-27 | +0.9 | −2.4 | 0.239 | 3 | −6.6 |
| 6 | at Georgetown | L 24-27 | −5.5 | +2.4 | 0.205 | 3 | −6.4 |
| 9 | at Howard | L 27-33 OT | −6.3 | +2.4 | 0.191 | 3 | −7.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at South Carolina State · p 0.443
- Wk 11: vs Delaware State · p 0.193
- Wk 12: at Norfolk State · p 0.080
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.382
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 21-38
- Wk 3: at ToledoFBS · L 0-60
- Wk 4: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 27-0
- Wk 5: vs (N) Miles CollegeDII · W 24-17
- Wk 7: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-6