William & Mary
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#44
+4.0 pts · likely #24–69
Strength of schedule
28.7
#78 of 129
Strength of victory
16.3
#43
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 51.0% · Opp. opp. 57.8%
Remaining SOS
26.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | −1.3 | +2.2 | 0.291 | 2 | −0.8 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | +1.2 | −2.2 | 0.249 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −2.3 | −2.2 | 0.180 | 3 | +19.8 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +12.7 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Elon · p 0.402
- Wk 9: at New Hampshire · p 0.407
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.066
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.267
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.129
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.332
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55