Villanova
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 26% of the time
Power
#15
+12.3 pts · likely #8–36
Strength of schedule
44.0
#16 of 129
Strength of victory
40.9
#3
Record SOS
0.665
Opp. 73.0% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
41.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +2.9 | −2.2 | 0.287 | 2 | +7.7 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +9.2 | +2.2 | 0.566 | 1 | −4.1 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +3.3 | −2.2 | 0.296 | 2 | +8.8 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +7.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Hampton · p 0.076
- Wk 9: vs UAlbany · p 0.066
- Wk 11: at Towson · p 0.358
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.435
- Wk 13: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.178
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.708
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.707
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.822
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52