Colgate
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#49
+2.9 pts · likely #29–78
Strength of schedule
36.9
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
16.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.529
Opp. 52.0% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
29.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Georgetown · p 0.172
- Wk 9: at Holy Cross · p 0.270
- Wk 10: vs Merrimack · p 0.172
- Wk 11: at Lafayette · p 0.462
- Wk 12: vs Lehigh · p 0.597
- Wk 13: vs Bucknell · p 0.117
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at SyracuseFBS · L 24-66