North Carolina A&T
CAA · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#107
−9.5 pts · likely #82–118
Strength of schedule
28.7
#79 of 129
Strength of victory
7.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.416
Opp. 43.6% · Opp. opp. 37.7%
Remaining SOS
40.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Tennessee State | L 21-24 | −10.1 | +2.2 | 0.126 | 3 | −10.6 |
| 3 | vs Hampton | W 33-30 OT | −9.7 | −2.2 | 0.078 | 4 | −8.9 |
| 4 | vs North Carolina Central | L 20-62 | +5.9 | −2.2 | 0.360 | 2 | −26.9 |
| 5 | at Maine | L 30-37 | +3.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Campbell · p 0.179
- Wk 10: vs Towson · p 0.254
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.553
- Wk 12: vs Monmouth · p 0.526
- Wk 13: at Elon · p 0.519
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at UCFFBS · L 7-68