Tennessee State
OVC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−9.7 pts · likely #85–118
Strength of schedule
34.4
#49 of 129
Strength of victory
7.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 43.7%
Remaining SOS
22.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 24-21 | −9.8 | −2.2 | 0.077 | 4 | −8.7 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota State | L 3-59 | +31.3 | −2.2 | 0.914 | 1 | −6.5 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | L 21-23 | −6.8 | −2.2 | 0.111 | 3 | −10.6 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 8-35 | +12.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Howard · p 0.167
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.085
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.247
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.344
- Wk 12: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.303
- Wk 13: at Charleston Southern · p 0.206