Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#69
−1.7 pts · likely #45–99
Strength of schedule
39.1
#29 of 129
Strength of victory
10.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.487
Opp. 44.0% · Opp. opp. 58.2%
Remaining SOS
29.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 30-21 | −6.5 | −2.2 | 0.115 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 3 | at North Dakota State | L 14-41 | +31.9 | +2.2 | 0.956 | 1 | +5.9 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 31-59 | +13.1 | −2.2 | 0.551 | 1 | −15.5 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-34 | −3.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.142
- Wk 9: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.679
- Wk 10: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.132
- Wk 11: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.414
- Wk 12: at Western Illinois · p 0.141
- Wk 13: vs Lindenwood · p 0.247
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 24-42