Morehead State
Pioneer · 0-5 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#111
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−19.5 pts · likely #116–127
Strength of schedule
30.7
#70 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 39.2%
Remaining SOS
11.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 13-41 | +6.2 | +2.2 | 0.483 | 2 | −19.4 |
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 7-56 | +8.2 | +2.2 | 0.537 | 1 | −24.4 |
| 5 | at Presbyterian | L 0-41 | +1.1 | +2.2 | 0.350 | 2 | −30.5 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | L 28-35 | −3.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Marist · p 0.071
- Wk 9: at Valparaiso · p 0.016
- Wk 10: vs Davidson · p 0.008
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.107
- Wk 13: at Drake · p 0.363
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs AllenDII · W 38-31
- Wk 4: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 45-28