Dayton
Pioneer · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#84
−4.2 pts · likely #56–107
Strength of schedule
7.4
#128 of 129
Strength of victory
4.4
#62
Record SOS
0.291
Opp. 18.0% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
18.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −5.9 | +2.2 | 0.195 | 3 | −12.1 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −11.3 | +2.2 | 0.109 | 3 | −5.2 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 48-14 | −23.6 | −2.2 | 0.009 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | W 35-28 | −20.8 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.107
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.296
- Wk 10: at San Diego · p 0.240
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.258
- Wk 13: at Davidson · p 0.017
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0