Dartmouth
Ivy · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#40
+4.9 pts · likely #21–71
Strength of schedule
35.8
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
35.0
#8
Record SOS
0.623
Opp. 67.1% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
30.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | W 27-20 | +3.8 | −2.2 | 0.309 | 2 | +7.6 |
| 5 | at Central Connecticut State | W 35-28 | +1.0 | +2.2 | 0.348 | 2 | +9.7 |
| 6 | at Penn | L 24-36 | +2.4 | +2.2 | 0.384 | 2 | −5.2 |
| 7 | vs Yale | W 17-16 | +7.1 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Fordham · p 0.155
- Wk 9: vs Columbia · p 0.139
- Wk 10: at Harvard · p 0.801
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.178
- Wk 12: vs Cornell · p 0.108
- Wk 13: at Brown · p 0.426