Central Connecticut State
NEC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#60
+0.5 pts · likely #38–88
Strength of schedule
17.7
#118 of 129
Strength of victory
10.8
#56
Record SOS
0.419
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
27.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | W 31-7 | −17.0 | −2.2 | 0.028 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 4 | at Merrimack | L 14-16 | −3.3 | +2.2 | 0.245 | 3 | −2.2 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 28-35 | +4.1 | −2.2 | 0.315 | 2 | −4.3 |
| 6 | vs Sacred Heart | W 42-35 OT | −2.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Wagner · p 0.090
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.110
- Wk 11: vs Stonehill · p 0.112
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.529
- Wk 13: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.231
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.549
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 13-59
- Wk 2: vs American InternationalDII · W 34-7