Yale
Ivy · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#34
+6.8 pts · likely #16–58
Strength of schedule
36.1
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
15.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 58.7%
Remaining SOS
43.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | W 28-10 | −1.0 | −2.2 | 0.204 | 3 | +13.5 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | W 41-24 | −6.9 | −2.2 | 0.110 | 3 | +7.9 |
| 6 | at Lehigh | L 13-31 | +13.6 | +2.2 | 0.679 | 1 | −1.1 |
| 7 | at Dartmouth | L 16-17 | +4.9 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.112
- Wk 9: vs Penn · p 0.329
- Wk 10: vs Columbia · p 0.139
- Wk 11: at Brown · p 0.426
- Wk 12: at Princeton · p 0.266
- Wk 13: vs Harvard · p 0.708
- Wk 14: at Youngstown State · p 0.573
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.910