St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#71
−2.0 pts · likely #45–100
Strength of schedule
31.4
#67 of 129
Strength of victory
36.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
25.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +6.1 | −2.3 | 0.362 | 2 | +21.6 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +9.6 | +2.3 | 0.580 | 1 | +3.6 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −3.9 | +2.3 | 0.236 | 3 | −4.2 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −9.6 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.024
- Wk 8: vs Valparaiso · p 0.011
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.011
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.077
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.376
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.322
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.938
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7