Idaho
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#28
+8.2 pts · likely #14–57
Strength of schedule
35.7
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
17.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 51.1% · Opp. opp. 64.9%
Remaining SOS
36.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 37-30 | −2.1 | −2.3 | 0.181 | 3 | +2.6 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | W 20-6 | −2.4 | −2.3 | 0.176 | 3 | +8.5 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 30-41 | +15.0 | +2.3 | 0.714 | 1 | +6.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.131
- Wk 8: at Eastern Washington · p 0.382
- Wk 9: vs Portland State · p 0.126
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.534
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.606
- Wk 12: at Sacramento State · p 0.573
- Wk 13: vs Idaho State · p 0.222
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 10-13
- Wk 4: at San José StateFBS · L 28-31