San Diego
Pioneer · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#82
−3.6 pts · likely #54–103
Strength of schedule
38.6
#34 of 129
Strength of victory
34.7
#11
Record SOS
0.561
Opp. 51.9% · Opp. opp. 64.5%
Remaining SOS
9.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | L 17-41 | +2.2 | −2.3 | 0.268 | 2 | −21.2 |
| 2 | vs Southern Utah | W 30-27 OT | +8.7 | −2.3 | 0.429 | 2 | +7.4 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 7-41 | +25.3 | +2.3 | 0.897 | 1 | −5.7 |
| 4 | at Princeton | W 42-35 | +2.8 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Drake · p 0.263
- Wk 9: at Davidson · p 0.024
- Wk 10: vs Dayton · p 0.112
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.025
- Wk 12: vs Butler · p 0.105
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.011