Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 25% of the time
Power
#29
+8.0 pts · likely #14–54
Strength of schedule
43.1
#17 of 129
Strength of victory
33.6
#13
Record SOS
0.442
Opp. 33.0% · Opp. opp. 66.6%
Remaining SOS
38.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 38-31 | −3.5 | −2.3 | 0.158 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 52-49 | +7.6 | +2.3 | 0.526 | 1 | +12.2 |
| 4 | vs Incarnate Word | W 31-23 | +9.3 | −2.3 | 0.445 | 2 | +14.3 |
| 5 | at Portland State | W 31-17 | −4.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at UC Davis · p 0.722
- Wk 9: at Idaho State · p 0.328
- Wk 10: vs Idaho · p 0.419
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.131
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.358
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.351
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 19-38