Incarnate Word
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#25
+8.7 pts · likely #13–50
Strength of schedule
41.5
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
46.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.548
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 47.7%
Remaining SOS
27.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −6.8 | +2.3 | 0.181 | 3 | −13.9 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +2.5 | −2.3 | 0.276 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 23-31 | +6.8 | +2.3 | 0.504 | 1 | +2.4 |
| 5 | vs Abilene Christian | W 38-7 | +17.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.173
- Wk 9: at UTRGV · p 0.336
- Wk 10: vs Lamar · p 0.350
- Wk 11: at Northwestern State · p 0.046
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.579
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.162
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48