Fordham
Patriot · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#107
−8.4 pts · likely #76–118
Strength of schedule
40.0
#29 of 129
Strength of victory
20.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
33.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 28-49 | +10.8 | −2.3 | 0.486 | 2 | −12.2 |
| 3 | at Stony Brook | L 18-41 | +8.0 | +2.3 | 0.536 | 1 | −11.3 |
| 4 | at Colgate | L 21-44 | +2.3 | +2.3 | 0.384 | 2 | −16.9 |
| 5 | vs Holy Cross | W 26-21 | −0.7 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Dartmouth · p 0.325
- Wk 9: vs Lehigh · p 0.566
- Wk 10: at Richmond · p 0.463
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.171
- Wk 12: at Georgetown · p 0.177
- Wk 13: at Merrimack · p 0.282
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Boston CollegeFBS · L 10-66