Stony Brook
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#23
+9.3 pts · likely #13–48
Strength of schedule
22.7
#101 of 129
Strength of victory
17.0
#34
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 37.7%
Remaining SOS
33.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Rhode Island | L 17-31 | +4.2 | −2.3 | 0.315 | 2 | −9.2 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | W 41-18 | −7.9 | −2.3 | 0.096 | 4 | +12.2 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 27-30 | −0.7 | +2.3 | 0.309 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 35-10 | +1.6 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Monmouth · p 0.630
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.266
- Wk 10: at Maine · p 0.342
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.069
- Wk 12: at Villanova · p 0.620
- Wk 13: vs Bryant · p 0.093
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 0-42