Lafayette
Patriot · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#52
+2.2 pts · likely #31–80
Strength of schedule
16.2
#115 of 129
Strength of victory
16.8
#35
Record SOS
0.471
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
35.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Stonehill | W 42-26 | −6.6 | +2.3 | 0.184 | 3 | +10.2 |
| 3 | at Georgetown | W 42-37 | −7.4 | +2.3 | 0.170 | 3 | −0.1 |
| 4 | vs Columbia | W 38-14 | +0.4 | −2.3 | 0.229 | 3 | +18.2 |
| 5 | vs Princeton | L 28-38 | −4.7 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Bucknell · p 0.171
- Wk 10: at Holy Cross · p 0.270
- Wk 11: vs Colgate · p 0.311
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.463
- Wk 13: vs Lehigh · p 0.566
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · L 7-26