Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#17
+10.3 pts · likely #9–49
Strength of schedule
36.7
#36 of 129
Strength of victory
33.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.546
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 63.9%
Remaining SOS
33.7
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Abilene Christian | L 20-28 | +4.2 | +2.6 | 0.440 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 35-17 | +9.0 | −2.6 | 0.430 | 2 | +20.6 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 34-17 | +0.7 | −2.6 | 0.231 | 3 | +13.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Incarnate Word · p 0.600
- Wk 8: vs Nicholls State · p 0.188
- Wk 9: at East Texas A&M · p 0.180
- Wk 10: vs UTRGV · p 0.161
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.214
- Wk 12: vs Lamar · p 0.336
- Wk 13: at Northwestern State · p 0.087
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.371
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.893
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at HoustonFBS · L 0-27
- Wk 3: vs Sul Ross StateDII · W 63-0