Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 47% of the time
Power
#41
+5.2 pts · likely #19–71
Strength of schedule
51.7
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
51.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.604
Opp. 63.9% · Opp. opp. 53.5%
Remaining SOS
49.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | W 41-17 | +1.4 | +2.6 | 0.366 | 2 | +24.6 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 17-35 | +7.2 | +2.6 | 0.522 | 1 | −5.1 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | W 32-24 | +12.6 | +2.6 | 0.664 | 1 | +19.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs UC Davis · p 0.603
- Wk 7: at Montana · p 0.763
- Wk 9: vs Montana State · p 0.815
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.117
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.280
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.587
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.293
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at UtahFBS · L 9-63
- Wk 3: vs Western OregonDII · W 56-7