Abilene Christian
UAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#37
+6.4 pts · likely #17–66
Strength of schedule
50.3
#6 of 129
Strength of victory
53.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.667
Opp. 77.8% · Opp. opp. 44.4%
Remaining SOS
44.8
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | W 28-20 | +12.9 | −2.6 | 0.538 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-31 | +12.5 | −2.6 | 0.526 | 1 | +20.0 |
| 5 | at Incarnate Word | L 7-38 | +4.4 | +2.6 | 0.446 | 2 | −17.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Alabama · p 0.244
- Wk 7: at West Georgia · p 0.664
- Wk 8: at Southern Utah · p 0.500
- Wk 10: vs Tarleton State · p 0.744
- Wk 11: vs Utah Tech · p 0.185
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.470
- Wk 13: at Central Arkansas · p 0.289
- Wk 14: vs Lamar · p 0.336
- Wk 15: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.605
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TulsaFBS · L 7-35
- Wk 3: at TCUFBS · L 21-42