Austin Peay
UAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#30
+8.6 pts · likely #11–55
Strength of schedule
23.1
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
14.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 80.4%
Remaining SOS
40.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 56-7 | −16.8 | −2.6 | 0.027 | 4 | +14.1 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | L 31-45 | +3.0 | +2.6 | 0.407 | 2 | −5.0 |
| 5 | vs Utah Tech | W 42-10 | +2.0 | −2.6 | 0.259 | 2 | +27.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs West Georgia · p 0.529
- Wk 7: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.470
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.244
- Wk 10: at Southern Utah · p 0.500
- Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.182
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.049
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.842
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · W 34-14
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 6-28