Montana
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#6
+16.7 pts · likely #4–26
Strength of schedule
41.7
#19 of 129
Strength of victory
41.7
#2
Record SOS
0.861
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
47.0
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota | W 24-23 | +12.5 | −2.6 | 0.527 | 1 | +12.0 |
| 4 | vs Indiana State | W 63-20 | +3.2 | −2.6 | 0.284 | 2 | +30.1 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 41-30 | +9.3 | −2.6 | 0.440 | 2 | +17.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Idaho State · p 0.280
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.352
- Wk 8: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.120
- Wk 9: at Sacramento State · p 0.582
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.369
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.293
- Wk 12: at Portland State · p 0.201
- Wk 13: vs Montana State · p 0.815
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota State · p 0.843
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.426
- Wk 17: at Montana State · p 0.893
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 42-17