Indiana State
MVFC · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#75
−2.2 pts · likely #41–104
Strength of schedule
42.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
16.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.826
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 81.3%
Remaining SOS
59.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 38-14 | −2.8 | −2.6 | 0.164 | 3 | +15.0 |
| 4 | at Montana | L 20-63 | +13.1 | +2.6 | 0.675 | 1 | −15.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Southern Illinois · p 0.804
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota · p 0.426
- Wk 8: vs North Dakota State · p 0.901
- Wk 9: at North Dakota · p 0.694
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.913
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.370
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.600
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.063
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs McKendreeDII · W 41-24
- Wk 3: at IndianaFBS · L 0-73