North Dakota
MVFC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#9
+13.6 pts · likely #5–33
Strength of schedule
31.7
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
8.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 69.4%
Remaining SOS
57.7
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −3.8 | −2.6 | 0.148 | 3 | +22.1 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +18.2 | +2.6 | 0.789 | 1 | +18.3 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −20.7 | −2.6 | 0.014 | 4 | +12.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Northern Iowa · p 0.374
- Wk 7: vs Youngstown State · p 0.462
- Wk 8: at Southern Illinois · p 0.804
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.183
- Wk 10: at South Dakota · p 0.565
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.901
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.118
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.843
- Wk 14: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.677
- Wk 15: at Tarleton State · p 0.842
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38