UC Davis
Big Sky · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#14
+13.5 pts · likely #7–28
Strength of schedule
41.7
#21 of 129
Strength of victory
36.1
#9
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
56.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-24 | −6.7 | +1.6 | 0.169 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 50-34 | +10.9 | −1.6 | 0.508 | 1 | +24.3 |
| 5 | vs Weber State | W 34-12 | −0.4 | −1.6 | 0.228 | 3 | +20.1 |
| 6 | at Cal Poly | W 34-27 | +3.6 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.575
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.553
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 10-70