Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 7-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#34
+6.4 pts · likely #22–57
Strength of schedule
39.7
#29 of 129
Strength of victory
32.9
#15
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 46.0% · Opp. opp. 55.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 38-31 | −6.4 | −1.6 | 0.124 | 3 | −1.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 52-49 | +10.7 | +1.6 | 0.589 | 1 | +14.2 |
| 4 | vs Incarnate Word | W 31-23 | +6.7 | −1.6 | 0.396 | 2 | +12.6 |
| 5 | at Portland State | W 31-17 | −9.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 19-38