Central Connecticut State
NEC · 6-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#54
+2.5 pts · likely #35–75
Strength of schedule
20.3
#111 of 129
Strength of victory
12.8
#76
Record SOS
0.450
Opp. 43.5% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
41.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
5-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | W 31-7 | −15.5 | −1.9 | 0.037 | 4 | +7.6 |
| 4 | at Merrimack | L 14-16 | −5.4 | +1.9 | 0.198 | 3 | −4.9 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 28-35 | +7.5 | −1.9 | 0.410 | 2 | −1.1 |
| 6 | vs Sacred Heart | W 42-35 OT | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.148
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.673
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 13-59
- Wk 2: vs American InternationalDII · W 34-7