Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#85
−4.7 pts · likely #65–104
Strength of schedule
31.9
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
18.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
7.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 16-14 | +2.8 | −1.9 | 0.291 | 2 | +2.7 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | L 10-35 | +5.1 | +1.9 | 0.448 | 2 | −16.8 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 24-7 | −9.3 | −1.9 | 0.085 | 4 | +5.6 |
| 7 | vs Maine | L 13-20 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Fordham · p 0.079
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kent StateFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: vs St. AnselmDII · W 31-6
- Wk 3: at Kennesaw StateFBS · L 13-27