Wagner
NEC · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#99
−7.3 pts · likely #77–110
Strength of schedule
15.7
#126 of 129
Strength of victory
14.9
#68
Record SOS
0.391
Opp. 35.4% · Opp. opp. 46.4%
Remaining SOS
26.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Georgetown | L 20-31 | −5.9 | +1.9 | 0.188 | 3 | −15.0 |
| 3 | vs Marist | L 10-21 | −12.5 | −1.9 | 0.056 | 4 | −24.3 |
| 5 | vs Norfolk State | W 18-13 | −11.9 | −1.9 | 0.061 | 4 | −8.0 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | L 7-19 | −5.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Long Island · p 0.262
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 7-46
- Wk 4: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-49