Morehead State
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−19.1 pts · likely #116–127
Strength of schedule
20.0
#111 of 129
Strength of victory
2.6
#89
Record SOS
0.425
Opp. 39.5% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
24.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 13-41 | +8.6 | +2.1 | 0.548 | 1 | −17.0 |
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 7-56 | +7.4 | +2.1 | 0.515 | 1 | −25.4 |
| 5 | at Presbyterian | L 0-41 | −0.7 | +2.1 | 0.304 | 2 | −33.2 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | L 28-35 | −4.5 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.125
- Wk 13: at Drake · p 0.364
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs AllenDII · W 38-31
- Wk 4: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 45-28