Dayton
Pioneer · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#88
−5.1 pts · likely #64–107
Strength of schedule
12.9
#128 of 129
Strength of victory
10.0
#83
Record SOS
0.425
Opp. 39.7% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
14.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −6.4 | +2.1 | 0.183 | 3 | −13.2 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −9.3 | +2.1 | 0.137 | 3 | −3.2 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 48-14 | −25.1 | −2.1 | 0.007 | 4 | +5.5 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | W 35-28 | −20.1 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.263
- Wk 13: at Davidson · p 0.018
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0