Butler
Pioneer · 3-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#91
−5.2 pts · likely #65–108
Strength of schedule
25.6
#91 of 129
Strength of victory
25.3
#35
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 54.0% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
10.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-38 | −2.9 | +2.1 | 0.254 | 2 | −23.2 |
| 4 | at Weber State | L 24-38 | −2.0 | +2.1 | 0.272 | 2 | −12.9 |
| 5 | vs Marist | W 31-28 | −13.9 | −2.1 | 0.045 | 4 | −13.3 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 21-14 OT | +6.3 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Morehead State · p 0.037
- Wk 12: at San Diego · p 0.265
- Wk 13: vs Valparaiso · p 0.007
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Truman StateDII · W 37-27
- Wk 3: at HanoverDIII · W 16-7