St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#43
+4.3 pts · likely #26–69
Strength of schedule
15.0
#125 of 129
Strength of victory
7.0
#87
Record SOS
0.402
Opp. 33.9% · Opp. opp. 52.9%
Remaining SOS
52.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +1.0 | −2.1 | 0.247 | 3 | +18.9 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +6.9 | +2.1 | 0.500 | 1 | +2.5 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −3.2 | +2.1 | 0.247 | 3 | −3.1 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −7.9 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.364
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.246
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.955
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7